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AUD/USD faces a make-or-break test as dollar bulls turn up the heat

The question now is will buyers finally put their foot down or are we about to see another key leg lower in the currency pair? We're seeing price drop to about 0.6835 at present, putting the March lows at 0.6833 firmly in the spotlight.

By FxGain News Editorial Desk · · 2 min read

AUD/USD – AUD/USD faces a make-or-break test as dollar bulls turn up the heat
In this article
  1. Key points
  2. Inside the AUD/USD story
  3. Why AUD/USD matters for traders
  4. Market reaction and data
  5. What to watch next for AUD/USD
  6. FAQ

On the AUD/USD front, the question now is will buyers finally put their foot down or are we about to see another key leg lower in the currency pair?, according to investingLive. We're seeing price drop to about 0.6835 at present, putting the March lows at 0.6833 firmly in the spotlight.

Key points

  • The 100-week moving average at 0.6700 might offer buyers a place to lean on against a backdrop of such a break lower next.
  • That leaves the March low at 0.6833 as the next key line in the sand.
  • And looking at the fundamental backdrop, there is not much encouragement for the aussie either.

Inside the AUD/USD story

The pair has since broken back below its key daily moving averages and the increasing trendline support from the March to June lows that had aided underpin the upside momentum since July. That leaves the March low at 0.6833 as the next key line in the sand. The 100-week moving average at 0.6700 might offer buyers a place to lean on against a backdrop of such a break lower next.

And looking at the fundamental backdrop, there is not much encouragement for the aussie either.

Why AUD/USD matters for traders

Federal Reserve policy is the single biggest driver of the US dollar, Treasury yields and global risk appetite. Any shift in the expected path of interest rates is priced into currencies, gold and stock indices within minutes.

Hawkish signals typically lift the greenback and pressure non-yielding assets such as gold, whereas dovish signals often help equities and emerging-market currencies.

Market reaction and data

Crypto prices at the time of writing, from Binance spot data (2026-11-12 07:17 UTC):

AssetLast price (USDT)24h change24h high24h low
Bitcoin (BTC)73,468.63-0.33%74,811.4573,390.13
Ethereum (ETH)2,046.76-0.58%2,103.782,035.83

On the currency side, the latest ECB daily reference rates (2026-11-11) show EUR/USD 1.1127, GBP/USD 1.3307, AUD/USD 0.6859, NZD/USD 0.5583, USD/JPY 159.23, USD/CHF 0.8299, USD/CAD 1.4235, USD/CNY 6.6707. These are reference fixes, not live quotes.

What to watch next for AUD/USD

Traders will focus on upcoming comments from Fed officials, the next inflation and labour-market releases, and pricing in rate futures for clues about the timing of the next policy move.

Key scheduled releases on the economic calendar:

  • GBP GDP m/m on Thu Nov 12, 07:00 UTC, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.1%
  • USD Core PPI m/m on Fri Nov 13, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.3%, previous 0.7%
  • USD PPI m/m on Fri Nov 13, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.4%, previous 1.3%

Follow every update in our Top 10 Forex News Today, read BOJ policymaker Asada urges caution on further tightening moves even as December move is still firmly in play or see all of today's top market news.

FAQ

What is the latest AUD/USD news?

The question now is will buyers finally put their foot down or are we about to see another key leg lower in the currency pair?

How do Fed rate decisions affect forex markets?

Higher US rates tend to attract capital into dollar assets and strengthen the greenback, while lower rates or dovish guidance usually weaken it against other major currencies.

Where does this information come from?

This report is based on coverage from investingLive, checked against market data where available. It is a summary for information only and not investment advice.

#AUD/USD#Federal Reserve#Forex#investingLive

Risk warning: This article is for information only and is not investment advice. Trading forex, CFDs, stocks and crypto carries a high risk of losing money. Prices move fast – check live quotes before you trade.

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