US CPI preview: 43-day shutdown leaves no official annual rate as monthly pace seen easing
A 0.3% core print would revive hawkish Fed pricing for December, likely lifting Treasury yields and the US currency and adding pressure to tech shares still fragile following last week's selloff. With no official annual figures, the monthly core number is expected to drive the…
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On the inflation data front, a 0.3% core print would revive hawkish Fed pricing for December, likely lifting Treasury yields and the US currency and adding pressure to tech shares still fragile following last week's selloff, according to investingLive. With no official annual figures, the monthly core number is expected to drive the market reaction.
Inside the Inflation data story
Forecasters anticipate headline CPI to have risen around 0.3% on the month and core CPI, which strips out food and energy, around 0.2%, after increases of 0.6% and 0.3% in September. Any annual rate quoted following the release will be an estimate not an official reading.
Why inflation data matters for traders
Inflation figures decide how long central banks keep interest rates high. Hotter-than-expected readings usually lift bond yields and the local currency, while softer data raise hopes of rate cuts.
Price data feed straight into central-bank decisions, which makes them some of the most market-moving releases on the calendar for forex, bonds and stocks.
Market reaction and data
On the currency side, the latest ECB daily reference rates (2026-11-09) show EUR/USD 1.1193, GBP/USD 1.3416, AUD/USD 0.6894, NZD/USD 0.5613, USD/JPY 157.95, USD/CHF 0.8187, USD/CAD 1.4103, USD/CNY 6.6728. These are reference fixes, not live quotes.
What to watch next for inflation data
Next in focus are the coming inflation releases, central-bank reaction to them and changes in market pricing for future rate moves.
Key scheduled releases on the economic calendar:
- USD Core CPI m/m on Tue Nov 10, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.2%, previous 0.3%
- USD CPI m/m on Tue Nov 10, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.3%, previous 0.6%
- GBP GDP m/m on Thu Nov 12, 07:00 UTC, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.1%
- USD Core PPI m/m on Fri Nov 13, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.3%, previous 0.7%
- USD PPI m/m on Fri Nov 13, 13:30 UTC, forecast 0.4%, previous 1.3%
Follow every update in our Top 10 Forex News Today, read Japan household spending slumps 6.8%, 10th straight drop, as BoJ considers December hike or see all of today's top market news.
FAQ
What is the latest inflation data news?
A 0.3% core print would revive hawkish Fed pricing for December, likely lifting Treasury yields and the US currency and adding pressure to tech shares still fragile following last week's selloff.
Why do inflation numbers move markets?
Inflation data change expectations for central-bank interest rates, and rate expectations drive currencies, bond yields and stock valuations.
Where does this information come from?
This report is based on coverage from investingLive, checked against market data where available. It is a summary for information only and not investment advice.
Risk warning: This article is for information only and is not investment advice. Trading forex, CFDs, stocks and crypto carries a high risk of losing money. Prices move fast – check live quotes before you trade.
